Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1.929757 2.223458 2.541046 2.909257 3.323652 3.774829 4.302443
2024-10-06 1.549014 1.972843 2.471449 3.097854 3.860012 4.753249 5.875013
2024-10-13 1.247225 1.737450 2.358765 3.195538 4.283328 5.638834 7.443416
2024-10-20 0.994678 1.504330 2.195383 3.185519 4.549425 6.341120 8.847444
2024-10-27 0.832904 1.356235 2.109745 3.249490 4.899843 7.167304 10.473744
2024-11-03 0.706831 1.232411 2.031974 3.302096 5.224950 7.973296 12.128802
2024-11-10 0.597413 1.111795 1.936069 3.306614 5.468304 8.671232 13.674942
2024-11-17 0.501163 0.993636 1.823283 3.263960 5.625497 9.243666 15.069055
2024-11-24 0.416943 0.879860 1.698742 3.181544 5.703129 9.690726 16.294965
2024-12-01 0.361893 0.808848 1.635541 3.190181 5.922231 10.365510 17.909706
2024-12-08 0.311850 0.737858 1.561118 3.167334 6.080847 10.948012 19.409407
2024-12-15 0.280502 0.698880 1.539923 3.235531 6.398447 11.807930 21.407670
2024-12-22 0.249218 0.656349 1.509892 3.291265 6.712831 12.709317 23.579339
2024-12-29 0.233155 0.645385 1.542548 3.472981 7.277034 14.086858 26.660152
2025-01-05 0.210945 0.615667 1.531957 3.567526 7.686855 15.224335 29.406095
2025-01-12 0.183089 0.566039 1.470734 3.550285 7.878866 15.983890 31.537549
2025-01-19 0.164827 0.537118 1.451216 3.617734 8.241963 17.079021 34.334881
2025-01-26 0.148132 0.508676 1.428279 3.674178 8.586174 18.159938 37.169381
2025-02-02 0.130692 0.473984 1.384750 3.678506 8.821256 19.046606 39.694455
2025-02-09 0.113100 0.434411 1.322532 3.631362 8.941222 19.715346 41.845623
2025-02-16 0.096139 0.392232 1.246348 3.540687 8.956438 20.174852 43.619366
2025-02-23 0.085405 0.367661 1.213107 3.550115 9.192697 21.091271 46.329116
2025-03-02 0.074827 0.340663 1.168510 3.524984 9.346946 21.847358 48.761475